Evaluating Transmission Heterogeneity and Super-Spreading Event of COVID-19 in a Metropolis of ChinaArticle Published on 2020-05-242022-10-29 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research an [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] addition average binomial offspring branching process caused Characteristics China collected COVID-19 distribution effort Epidemics Evaluating event Factors Government heterogeneity heterogeneous individual infect infected case Infection information Intervention Local mass infection measure metropolis outbreak parameter k Population reproductive secondary cases super spreading sustained Tianjin Transmission Transmission heterogeneity Transmission model understanding [DOI] 10.3390/ijerph17103705 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures530 Published on 2020-05-122022-10-29 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] absence age assumption Asymptomatic Containment measure coronavirus disease COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic Critical disease outbreak scenarios distribution drastic Effect Epidemic epidemiological epidemiological data Evidence explicit fatality foci Hospitalization hospitalizations implementation include individual Infection information initial Interaction Intervention Italy Local management measure Measures pandemic of COVID-19 parameter presymptomatic progression reduced Reproduction number Result SARS-CoV-2 SEIR models sequence Significance social contact restrictions social distancing spatially explicit epidemiology Spread suggested Support the disease Transmission Transmission model [DOI] 10.1073/pnas.2004978117 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] 530
Analysis of the Healthcare MERS-CoV Outbreak in King Abdulaziz Medical Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, June–August 2015 Using a SEIR Ward Transmission ModelArticle Published on 2020-04-232022-10-29 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research an [Category] Coronavirus, [키워드] added analyzed basic reproduction number Care center Comorbidities compartmental model Control declined HCW Health care worker health care workers healthcare healthcare MERS-CoV outbreak highest hospital Hospital wards individual intensive care introduced King MERS-CoV Middle East Mobile health Model occurred outbreak Patient patients reached respiratory syndrome coronavirus responsible Saudi Arabia SEIR SEIR ward transmission model sustained the epidemic Transmission Transmission model trend ward Zoonotic coronavirus [DOI] 10.3390/ijerph17082936 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Prediction of local COVID-19 spread in HeidelbergResearch Article Published on 2020-04-022022-10-31 Journal: F1000Research [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] compartmental model COVID-19 example first identified case Health authority help hospital Hospitalization infections Local Mortality pandemic Patient predict prediction severity Spread Taking the disease Transmission model ventilator Wuhan, China [DOI] 10.12688/f1000research.23034.1 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling studyArticle Published on 2020-03-252022-10-29 Journal: The Lancet. Public Health [Category] COVID-19, Fulltext, MERS, [키워드] activity acute respiratory syndrome affected age Analysis benefit changes in children Community Contact coronavirus COVID-19 epidemic distribution Effect effective Epidemic epidemiological estimate expand finding foundation funding health-care system help Infection Intervention investigated IQR limitation Local measure median Melinda Gate Novel coronavirus outbreak outcome parameter physical distancing measure physical distancing measures Premature progression reduce reduced reducing reduction in respond restriction SARS-CoV-2 SEIR Stage susceptible-exposed-infected-removed the epidemic the median trajectory Transmission model Wellcome Trust Wuhan Wuhan, China [DOI] 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Quantifying the consequences of measles-induced immune modulation for whooping cough epidemiology홍역에 의한 면역 조절의 결과를 백일해 역학에 대한 정량화Article Published on 2019-06-242024-08-01 Journal: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences [Category] 백일해, [키워드] Immune suppression Maximum likelihood measles polymicrobial system Transmission model Whooping cough [DOI] 10.1098/rstb.2018.0270 PMC 바로가기
Estimating and modelling the transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus during the 2015 outbreak in the Republic of KoreaOriginal Article Published on 2017-08-172022-10-30 Journal: Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses [Category] Coronavirus, MERS, [키워드] 95% confidence interval approaches average basic reproductive number Bayesian Contact demonstrated effective estimate identify Korean learning Mathematical modelling measure methodology middle Middle East Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus objective outbreak overlapped Parameter estimation produced provide public health threat Quantitative ranged respiratory respiratory infection Result secondary case significantly higher South Korean outbreak Spread statistical statistical analysis susceptible Transmissibility Transmission Transmission dynamics Transmission model [DOI] 10.1111/irv.12467 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Article
Estimation of age-specific rates of reactivation and immune boosting of the varicella zoster virusArticle Published on 2017-06-012023-06-01 Journal: Epidemics [Category] 두창, 수두, 홍역, [키워드] statistical inference Transmission model vaccination varicella Zoster [DOI] 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.001
Estimation of age-specific rates of reactivation and immune boosting of the varicella zoster virusArticle Published on 2017-06-012023-06-01 Journal: Epidemics [Category] 두창, 수두, 홍역, [키워드] statistical inference Transmission model vaccination varicella Zoster [DOI] 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.001
Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)Research Article Published on 2016-07-222022-10-28 Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases [Category] Coronavirus, MERS, [키워드] AIC Airline transportation network Akaike information criterion Analysis analyzed Area assumed AUC calculated coronavirus country covariate distribution effective estimate facilitated help highest importation IMPROVE incidence Infectious disease Intensive International majority MERS MERS coronavirus Middle East Middle East respiratory syndrome Muslim predict Predictive reported Result risk Risk assessment Saudi Arabia sensitivity skewed specificity Spread statistical model Support syndrome Transmissibility Transmission model were used [DOI] 10.1186/s12879-016-1675-z PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article