Estimation of the basic reproduction number (R0) for the novel coronavirus disease in Sri LankaResearch Published on 2020-10-072022-10-28 Journal: Virology Journal [Category] Coronavirus, MERS, SARS, [키워드] basic reproduction number Bayesian calculate calculated caused compartmental model coronavirus COVID-19 determine disease estimation growth implication infected individual likelihood measure novel coronavirus disease objective parameters R0 ranged reduced Reproduction number Result Spread statistical the disease Transmissibility unit Variation was obtained was used [DOI] 10.1186/s12985-020-01411-0 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research
Adaptive Bayesian Learning and Forecasting of Epidemic Evolution—Data Analysis of the COVID-19 OutbreakSignal Processing Published on 2020-10-062022-10-30 Journal: Ieee Access [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] Accuracy adaptive Algorithm applied average Bayesian Bayesian sequential estimation caused compartmental model COVID-19 death develop drastic ensemble forecasting epidemiological Epidemiology Evolution Forecasting Government healthcare Healthcare systems individuals Infection information intensive care units Italy learning Local lockdown lockdowns Lombardia mathematical Measures National new strain outbreak pandemic prediction pandemic tracking Pandemics parameters predict provided reduce SARS-CoV-2 Schools social distancing Spread Stress Structure Support Surveillance the disease the mean transfer USA [DOI] 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3019922 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Signal Processing
Interplay of social distancing and border restrictions for pandemics via the epidemic renormalisation group frameworkArticle Published on 2020-09-282022-10-29 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] Coronavirus, SARS, [키워드] approach compartmental model COVID-19 case disease transmission effective Epidemic Forecasting globe Government helping infected case Interaction limitation Mathematics and computing Measures mechanism pandemic Pandemics Physics provide Region replacing reported social distancing Social distancing measure Spread the epidemic threat Travel [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-020-72175-4 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Possible fates of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the Mexican context1003 Published on 2020-09-232022-10-28 Journal: Royal Society Open Science [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] activities compartmental model country determine economic pressure epidemiological Evolution help infection rates magnitude outbreak pandemic Research SARS-CoV-2 social distancing social-ecological system Spread the epidemic [DOI] 10.1098/rsos.200886 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] 1003
COVID-19 healthcare demand and mortality in Sweden in response to non-pharmaceutical mitigation and suppression scenariosOriginal Article Published on 2020-09-202022-10-30 Journal: International Journal of Epidemiology [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] appear approach calibrated Care care demand cause caused China Combination community transmission compartmental model consequence Corona virus COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak COVID-19 pandemic death deaths effective Epidemic Epidemiology Europe excess mortality Health health-care healthcare highlight ICU Impact indicate individuals infections intensive care intensive care demand Isolation less lockdowns mitigate moderate Mortality outbreak pandemic physical distancing Radiation reducing Responding response Result resulting SARS-CoV-2 SEIR statistical analysis study period suppress suppressed susceptible Sweden Swedish USA while [DOI] 10.1093/ije/dyaa121 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Article
A network-based explanation of why most COVID-19 infection curves are linearPhysical Sciences Published on 2020-09-152022-10-29 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] Above applicability characteristic compartmental epidemiological model compartmental model confirmed case Contact contagious country COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic COVID-19 infection Critical epidemiological estimate example explain explained feature growth household size Immunity Infection infection prevalence linear lockdown lockdowns mathematical mean-field (well mixed) approximation measure National network theory nonpharmaceutical intervention NPIs observation observé occur offer pandemic parameters Precision Probability question reached reduce reveal Significance social contact networks suppressed the epidemic the United State Traditional transmission rate [DOI] 10.1073/pnas.2010398117 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Physical Sciences
Prediction of the Peak, Effect of Intervention, and Total Infected by COVID-19 in IndiaBrief Report Published on 2020-09-092022-10-31 Journal: Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness [Category] COVID-19, COVID19(2023년), MERS, SARS, [키워드] calculate changes in compartmental model coronavirus disease COVID-19 Effect health-care India infected individual infection rate Intervention involved peak peak prediction Poisson prediction Reproduction number SEIR SEIR compartmental model social distancing the epidemic Total total population [DOI] 10.1017/dmp.2020.321 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Brief Report
A Theoretical Model to Investigate the Influence of Temperature, Reactions of the Population and the Government on the COVID-19 Outbreak in TurkeyOriginal Research Published on 2020-09-092022-10-31 Journal: Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness [Category] COVID-19, COVID19(2023년), MERS, SARS, [키워드] activated addition Analysis approach Care China compartmental model consequence containment strategies coronavirus coronavirus ınfections coronavirus disease country COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak death Effect example Government Health health-care system include influence influences introduced Johns Hopkins University mathematical measure Model occur occurred pandemic Pandemics parameter Population Quantitative Quantitative data reaction Reactions Risk perception SEIR severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Spread temperature transmission rate Turkey turn was tested Wuhan [DOI] 10.1017/dmp.2020.322 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Research
An epidemiological modelling approach for COVID-19 via data assimilationCovid-19 Published on 2020-09-042022-10-31 Journal: European Journal of Epidemiology [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] 2019-nCoV applied approach available data Bayesian updating compartmental model condition COVID-19 Data assimilation develop epidemiological extension global pandemic granular Infection infection rate Inference initial Intervention Italy measure Measurement error mitigate observation pandemic parameter quarantine robust the disease Transmissibility variable [DOI] 10.1007/s10654-020-00676-7 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Covid-19
Understanding COVID-19 nonlinear multi-scale dynamic spreading in ItalyOriginal Paper Published on 2020-09-012022-10-30 Journal: Nonlinear Dynamics [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] Algorithm Analysis approaches carried Combination compartmental model Computational intelligence COVID-19 data-driven Epidemic Evolution hierarchical clustering Italy Logistic regression Lombardia multidimensional Nonlinear infection dynamics outbreak pandemic Parametric identification positive Spread took place understanding [DOI] 10.1007/s11071-020-05902-1 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper