Effects of prolonged incubation period and centralized quarantine on the COVID-19 outbreak in Shijiazhuang, China: a modeling studyResearch Article Published on 2021-12-072022-10-28 Journal: BMC Medicine [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] 95% CI age analyzed Asymptomatic available data Characteristics Contact tracing COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak cumulative diagnosed Diagnosis Effect Epidemic epidemiological Epidemiology evaluated identify implementation Incubation Incubation period indicated information Intervention Isolation likelihood Local male measure Monte Carlo method Non-pharmaceutical intervention nucleic acid occur occurred outbreak Patient quarantine reduce reduced Result secondary transmission SEIR SEIR model Sex suggested supplementary material symptomatic symptoms onset virus transmission were used [DOI] 10.1186/s12916-021-02178-z PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
SARS-CoV-2 mutational cascades and the risk of hyper-exponential growthSARS-CoV-2 돌연변이 캐스케이드 및 하이퍼 기하 급수적 인 성장의 위험Article Published on 2021-12-012022-09-11 Journal: Microbial pathogenesis [Category] SARS, 변종, [키워드] can not cascade condition delta variant driving Epidemic Evolution expected exponential growth favor growth Hyper-exponential growth increase in independent indicate limit mutant Mutation mutations pandemic partial immunity pattern predict public health measure Research risk SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 variant SEIR SEIR model selective strain the timing Transmission Transmission coefficient transmission parameter transmission parameters variant variant of concern variants VoC VOCs will drive [DOI] 10.1016/j.micpath.2021.105237 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
The Effect of Local and Global Interventions on Epidemic SpreadingArticle Published on 2021-11-302022-10-30 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research an [Category] Coronavirus, MERS, SARS, [키워드] cause develop Effect effective Efficiency Epidemic global public health global/local interventions implementation Incubation period infected individual Intervention Local outbreak pandemic predict Previous studies reduce reduced regions resource SEIR SEIR model significantly spreading the epidemic [DOI] 10.3390/ijerph182312627 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Measuring the impact of suspending Umrah, a global mass gathering in Saudi Arabia on the COVID-19 pandemicS.i. : Covid-19 Published on 2021-09-062022-10-31 Journal: Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] Analysis China coronavirus COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic Effect Epidemic Epidemic modeling evaluate events Hajj implication increase in Infectious diseases International Intervention Mass gatherings Measures Mecca Muslim outbreak preventative measure progression reduce Saudi Arabia SEIR SEIR model shown Spread spread of COVID-19 stratified the epidemic Travel Travel restriction Umrah Wuhan, China [DOI] 10.1007/s10588-021-09343-y PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] S.i. : Covid-19
Dynamical Analysis of Universal Masking on the Pandemic팬데믹에 대한 유니버설 마스킹의 동적 분석Article Published on 2021-08-272022-09-10 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research an [Category] MERS, SARS, 치료기술, [키워드] Analysis Community compartmental model Compliance COVID-19 Critical epidemic modelling focus highlight identify implementation Infection macroscopic mask wearing masking maximum pandemic reduce SEIR SEIR model SEIS model Singapore Spread spread of COVID-19 threshold Transmission Universal values [DOI] 10.3390/ijerph18179027 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
A Modeling Study on Vaccination and Spread of SARS-CoV-2 Variants in ItalyArticle Published on 2021-08-172022-10-28 Journal: Vaccines [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] acute respiratory syndrome affected approved Bayesian calibration coronavirus COVID-19 Hypothesis Inclusion Italian Italy Lineage lockdown measure model calibration modeling parameter Reproduction number SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 variants SEIR model the epidemic transmission parameter vaccination Vaccine Vaccines variants waning immunity worsened [DOI] 10.3390/vaccines9080915 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Estimating the wave 1 and wave 2 infection fatality rates from SARS-CoV-2 in IndiaResearch Note Published on 2021-07-082022-10-27 Journal: BMC Research Notes [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] available data Case fatality rate Council COVID-19 infection CrI death deaths estimate estimates excess deaths Factors False negative rates Fatality rate First wave IFR India Infection intrinsically mortality data National objective released reported Result RT-PCR test SARS-CoV-2 second wave SEIR model Serosurvey supplementary material Taking Underreporting Variation yielding [DOI] 10.1186/s13104-021-05652-2 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Note
Estimating the wave 1 and wave 2 infection fatality rates from SARS-CoV-2 in IndiaResearch Note Published on 2021-07-082022-10-27 Journal: BMC Research Notes [Category] Coronavirus, COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] available data Case fatality rate Council COVID-19 infection CrI death deaths estimate estimates excess deaths Factors False negative rates Fatality rate First wave IFR India Infection intrinsically mortality data National objective released reported Result RT-PCR test SARS-CoV-2 second wave SEIR model Serosurvey supplementary material Taking Underreporting Variation yielding [DOI] 10.1186/s13104-021-05652-2 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Note
Mathematical Modeling and COVID-19 Forecast in Texas, USA: A Prediction Model Analysis and the Probability of Disease OutbreakOriginal Research Published on 2021-05-192022-10-31 Journal: Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] Analysis applied basic reproduction number calculate chain clinically Continuous-Time Markov Chain (CTMC) coronavirus disease COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak Dashboard Department determine effective indicate indicated Infection infection rate Markov mathematical Model modeling occur outbreak parameters persists predict predicted prediction Probability reported response SEIR SEIR model service state Surveillance Texas United States vaccination Vaccine was used website WHO [DOI] 10.1017/dmp.2021.151 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Research
Study on the SEIQR model and applying the epidemiological rates of COVID-19 epidemic spread in Saudi ArabiaSpecial issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission Published on 2021-04-182022-10-30 Journal: Infectious Disease Modelling [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] analyses Analysis analyzed applied carried coronavirus COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic COVID-19 outbreak demonstrated domain effective Epidemic epidemiological Including Jacobian matrix Local Lyapunov stability mathematical Model outbreak protocol Reproduction number reproductive Saudi Arabia SEIQR model SEIR model sensitivity Spread spread of COVID-19 stability [DOI] 10.1016/j.idm.2021.04.005 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission