Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an exampleSpecial issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission Published on 2020-07-042022-10-30 Journal: Infectious Disease Modelling [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] bias Care COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic early stage epidemic modelling example Infectious disease infectious disease outbreak Intervention mathematical Mathematical modelling outbreak parameter Parameter estimation statistical subpopulations toolkit [DOI] 10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.008 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission
Quantifying the role of social distancing, personal protection and case detection in mitigating COVID-19 outbreak in Ontario, CanadaResearch Published on 2020-05-262022-10-30 Journal: Journal of Mathematics in Industry [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] Canada Combination confirmed case Contact Control reproduction number coronavirus disease COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak detection rate determine disease effective effective reproduction number Effectiveness Efficacy estimate Health Infection Intervention local public health mathematical mathematical model measure mitigate outbreak Parameter estimation personal protection predict Probability Public public health measure quantification reduce reducing reduction remained Reproduction number resulting second wave social distancing Social distancing measure social distancing measures Spread the disease threshold Transmission [DOI] 10.1186/s13362-020-00083-3 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research
Prediction of COVID-19 transmission dynamics using a mathematical model considering behavior changes in KoreaArticle Published on 2020-04-132023-06-14 Journal: Epidemiology and Health [Category] MERS, [키워드] Behavior changes COVID-19 mathematical model Model prediction Parameter estimation [DOI] 10.4178/epih.e2020026 PMC 바로가기
A discrete stochastic model of the COVID-19 outbreak: Forecast and controlArticle Published on 2020-03-162023-07-13 Journal: Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE [Category] SARS, [키워드] control measures COVID-19 Data fitting Parameter estimation Stochastic model [DOI] 10.3934/mbe.2020153
Prioritization of vaccine strategy using an age-dependent mathematical model for 2009 A/H1N1 influenza in the Republic of KoreaArticle Published on 2019-10-212023-06-24 Journal: Journal of theoretical biology [Category] 신종인플루엔자, [키워드] Age-priority of vaccination age-structured model influenza epidemic Parameter estimation Region-specific vaccine strategy. [DOI] 10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.07.011
Computing human to human Avian influenza ℜ₀ via transmission chains and parameter estimationArticle Published on 2019-04-192023-06-21 Journal: Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE [Category] 조류인플루엔자, [키워드] Avian Influenza basic reproduction number identifiability Parameter estimation transmission chains. [DOI] 10.3934/mbe.2019174
Modelling hyaluronan degradation by streptococcus pneumoniae hyaluronate lyasearticle Published on 2018-09-302024-09-01 Journal: Mathematical Biosciences [Category] 폐렴구균 감염증, [키워드] Hyaluronic acid mathematical model Parameter estimation Polymer degradation sensitivity analysis Streptococcus pneumoniae [Article Type] article
Estimating Parameters Related to the Lifespan of Passively Transferred and Vaccine-Induced Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome Virus Type I Antibodies by Modeling Field DataOriginal Research Published on 2018-01-292023-08-30 Journal: Frontiers in Veterinary Science [Category] E형 간염, [키워드] antibody kinetics maternally derived antibodies Parameter estimation Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome Vaccine-induced immunity [DOI] 10.3389/fvets.2018.00009 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Research
Estimating and modelling the transmissibility of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus during the 2015 outbreak in the Republic of KoreaOriginal Article Published on 2017-08-172022-10-30 Journal: Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses [Category] Coronavirus, MERS, [키워드] 95% confidence interval approaches average basic reproductive number Bayesian Contact demonstrated effective estimate identify Korean learning Mathematical modelling measure methodology middle Middle East Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus objective outbreak overlapped Parameter estimation produced provide public health threat Quantitative ranged respiratory respiratory infection Result secondary case significantly higher South Korean outbreak Spread statistical statistical analysis susceptible Transmissibility Transmission Transmission dynamics Transmission model [DOI] 10.1111/irv.12467 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Article
Linking the seroresponse to infection to within-host heterogeneity in antibody productionarticle Published on 2016-09-302024-09-01 Journal: Epidemics [Category] 백일해, [키워드] Parameter estimation pertussis serology waning immunity within-host model [Article Type] article