Inference in epidemiological agent-based models using ensemble-based data assimilationResearch Article Published on 2022-03-042022-10-28 Journal: PLoS ONE [Category] Coronavirus, MERS, SARS, [키워드] age attribute Buenos Aires compartmental model complex Contact Contact tracing COVID-19 disease disease spread epidemiological epidemiological data Evolution experiment feature individual individual level Infection Inference information Interaction joint Kalman filter methodology MONITOR observation parameter parameters Population provided raise representing risk Schools statistical the mean [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pone.0264892 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Age-Varying Susceptibility to the Delta Variant (B.1.617.2) of SARS-CoV-2SARS-CoV-2의 델타 변종(B.1.617.2)에 대한 연령별 감수성Article Published on 2022-03-012022-09-11 Journal: JAMA Network Open [Category] SARS, 변종, [키워드] 95% CI age analyzed association B.1.617.2 Bayesian inference children compartmental model Confirmed COVID-19 infection Contact Contact tracing COVID-19 COVID-19 infections COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 vaccination Delta delta variant diagnosed with COVID-19 diagnostic distribution doubling Effectiveness force of infection highest increase in individual Infection knowledge latent period outcome quarantine remained SARS-CoV-2 significant difference South Korea strain Strains study period susceptibility susceptible symptom onset vaccination Vaccination Status Vaccine variant was used were excluded [DOI] 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.3064 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
A new threshold reveals the uncertainty about the effect of school opening on diffusion of Covid-19새로운 문턱은 개학이 Covid-19의 확산에 미치는 영향에 대한 불확실성을 나타냅니다.Article Published on 2022-02-222022-09-10 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] COVID19(2023년), MERS, SARS, 변종, [키워드] Affect Analysis Applied mathematics Awareness children choice compartmental model computation conducted Course COVID-19 pandemic Data collection data-driven diffusion Effect Epidemiology feature implication lockdowns mathematical Mathematics and computing open outbreak pandemic phase transition Phase transitions and critical phenomena reason reason for reveal School Schools similar studies Specific subpopulation subpopulations threshold transmission rate transmission rates Vaccinations variant variants [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-022-06540-w PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
A semi-parametric, state-space compartmental model with time-dependent parameters for forecasting COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deathsLife Sciences–Mathematics interface Published on 2022-02-162022-10-30 Journal: Journal of the Royal Society Interface [Category] COVID-19, COVID19(2023년), MERS, SARS, [키워드] Accuracy applicability baseline Combination compartmental model coronavirus disease COVID-19 COVID-19 cases dataset death Efficiency estimate evaluate Forecasting high accuracy Hospital admission Hospitalization include Infection Infectious disease infectious disease model parameter provide random state-space model transmission rate vaccination [DOI] 10.1098/rsif.2021.0702 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Investigating vaccine-induced immunity and its effect in mitigating SARS-CoV-2 epidemics in China백신 유발 면역 및 중국에서 SARS-COV-2 전염병을 완화시키는 데 영향을 미치는 결과 조사Research Article Published on 2022-01-312022-09-10 Journal: BMC Medicine [Category] SARS, 변종, [키워드] age China Chinese compartmental model country Coverage COVID-19 delta variant develop Efficacy Epidemic Epidemics estimate herd immunity Immunity Infection initiated lack mitigate natural immunity natural infection provided reached reduce Result return SARS-CoV-2 SARS-COV-2 infection SARS-CoV-2 infections SARS-CoV-2 transmission severe disease SLIR model supplementary material tested the vaccine the vaccines Transmission unlikely vaccination Vaccination program Vaccine vaccine efficacy Vaccine-induced immunity [DOI] 10.1186/s12916-022-02243-1 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Global Analysis and Optimal Control Model of COVID-19Research Article Published on 2022-01-272022-10-31 Journal: Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] Analysis carried compartmental model Control COVID COVID-19 determine Effectiveness Endemic examined exhibits globe Government help infected individuals mathematical model Model outbreak pandemic parameter Reproduction number Research Spread stability susceptible individuals the disease the epidemic Treatment understanding vaccination [DOI] 10.1155/2022/9491847 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Epidemiology and control of SARS-CoV-2 epidemics in partially vaccinated populations: a modeling study applied to France부분적으로 백신 접종 된 인구에서 SARS-COV-2 전염병의 역학 및 제어 : 프랑스에 적용되는 모델링 연구Research Article Published on 2022-01-262022-09-10 Journal: BMC Medicine [Category] SARS, 변종, [키워드] absence applied approaches assumed baseline basic reproduction number calibrated change characterized children compartmental model Control Coverage deleterious effect deleterious effects delta variant determine effective Epidemic Epidemics Epidemiology expected France French healthcare help Hospitalization hospitalizations implication individual Infection Intervention management measure Measures Non-pharmaceutical interventions PROTECT Protective reduce repeated responsible Result risk risk of infection SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology Society Stress supplementary material targeting Transmission transmissions vaccinated individual vaccinated individuals Vaccinating vaccination Vaccine [DOI] 10.1186/s12916-022-02235-1 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Using Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and High Isolation of Asymptomatic Carriers to Contain the Spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Nursing HomesArticle Published on 2022-01-262022-10-29 Journal: International Review of Cell and Molecular Biology [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] appear attack rate Care carrier Community compartmental model Complete connection COVID-19 death deaths decrease defined effective Endemic Epidemics evaluate First wave home hospitalizations ICU identify include increasingly infections Influenza influenza pandemic Intervention Isolation Local MERS Non-pharmaceutical interventions NPI NPIs Nursing nursing homes Older Outbreaks pandemic parameter pre-symptomatic pre-symptomatic carriers quarantine recorded reduction in SARS-CoV-1 SARS-CoV-2 significantly silent silent transmission susceptible symptomatic the SARS-CoV-2 Transmission [DOI] 10.3390/life12020180 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Bayesian Inference of State-Level COVID-19 Basic Reproduction Numbers across the United States미국 전역의 국가 차원의 COVID-19 기본 재생산 수의 베이지안 추론Article Published on 2022-01-152022-09-10 Journal: Viruses [Category] 변종, [키워드] absence acquired immunity approach B.1.617.2 basic basic reproduction number Bayesian Bayesian inference can be used Case report circulating compartmental model Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) COVID-19 Delta determine disease transmission dominant estimate expected fraction herd immunity Herd immunity threshold immune Immunity in some infection with SARS-CoV-2 infectiousness Inference Lineage mathematical model maximum more difficult Mutation New non-immune number reproduction SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 variant secondary case secondary cases seroprevalence survey strain Strains sustained the United State threshold United States unlikely vaccination [DOI] 10.3390/v14010157 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
A multi-source global-local model for epidemic managementResearch Article Published on 2022-01-122022-10-28 Journal: PLoS ONE [Category] Coronavirus, SARS, [키워드] Analysis assist Asymptomatic compartmental model determine develop effective Epidemic hospitalizations include information management methodology National number pandemic parameter provide reproduction Surveillance variables [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pone.0261650 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article