A prognostic dynamic model applicable to infectious diseases providing easily visualized guides: a case study of COVID-19 in the UK쉽게 시각화된 가이드를 제공하는 전염병에 적용 가능한 예후 동적 모델: 영국의 COVID-19 사례 연구Article Published on 2021-04-162022-09-10 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] MERS, SARS, 변종, 치료기술, [키워드] acquisition addition Algorithms calculated category cellular COVID-19 description descriptions detection rate disease disease control effective Epicentre Epidemics Epidemiology Factor Government growth growth rate herd immunity Immunity Infection Infectious disease Infectious diseases Intervention introduced iterative Measures parameter predict prognostic Python reference point Region Regulation Transmission Transmission model Vaccination strategy viral infection [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-021-87882-9 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
School closures reduced social mixing of children during COVID-19 with implications for transmission risk and school reopening policiesLife Sciences–Mathematics interface Published on 2021-04-142022-10-30 Journal: Journal of the Royal Society Interface [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] Area assumption Bay children Children social networks Cohort collected data Community community transmission Contact Contact rate COVID-19 COVID-19 incidence Effectiveness expected had more Hispanic implication Infectious disease Intervention K–12 measure moderate Precaution reduce reduced risk SARS-CoV-2 School school closures and reopening social contact social distancing social interaction symptomatic symptomatic infection Transmission Transmission model transmissions [DOI] 10.1098/rsif.2020.0970 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Life Sciences–Mathematics interface
Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England영국에서 SARS-CoV-2 계통 B.1.1.7의 추정 전파성 및 영향Research Article Published on 2021-04-092022-09-06 Journal: Science (New York, N.y.) [Category] Communicable Disease, MERS, SARS, 변종, [키워드] 95% confidence interval absence accelerate accelerated acute respiratory syndrome acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 age Alter appear approaches artifact B.1.1.7 B.1.1.7 variant baseline cause changes characterized Community competing complementary concern Contact coronavirus country COVID-19 COVID-19 case COVID-19 cases COVID-19 hospitalization dataset death deaths decrease Denmark disease severity dominant lineage educational institutions effective England estimate Estimated evaluated Evidence exhibit fixation generate genomic geographical area geographical areas greater help higher odd Hospital admissions hospitalizations human cells hypothese Impact incidence increase increase in increase in severity Infection infections inferences intervals lead Lineage Lineage B.1.1.7 major coronavirus mathematical mathematical model Mathematical models measure Measures median mitigate moderate multiple mechanism Mutation nonpharmaceutical intervention Nonpharmaceutical interventions occur Other outcomes positive predicted rationale Region Reproduction number respiratory robust SARS-CoV-2 SARS-COV-2 infection SARS-CoV-2 infections SARS-CoV-2 lineage SARS-CoV-2 variant Science Seven severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 severity Severity of disease Sex social contact Spread spread to spreads statistical statistical analysis subpopulations Support Switzerland the epidemic The United States Transmissibility Transmission Transmission model transmission rate UK variant B.1.1.7 United Kingdom United States vaccination Vaccine variant variants variants of SARS-CoV-2 variety virus VoC VOC 202012/01 [DOI] 10.1126/science.abg3055 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Modeling the interplay between demography, social contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the South West Shewa Zone of Oromia Region, EthiopiaResearch Article Published on 2021-04-092022-10-28 Journal: BMC Medicine [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] 95% CI attack rate characterized collected data Contact data Contact matrix contribute contributed country COVID-19 COVID-19 disease Critical disease determine Epidemic expected Factor healthcare heterogeneity heterogeneous population highest highlight incidence Infection mechanical ventilation Mixing patterns modeling Mortality National outcome Prevalence primary care reduce Region Reproduction number resource Result rural SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 transmission School Severe case social contact socio-demographic South Spread sub-Saharan Africa surveillance data symptomatic Transmission model Travel urban West [DOI] 10.1186/s12916-021-01967-w PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
The potential effect of COVID-19-related disruptions on HIV incidence and HIV-related mortality among men who have sex with men in the USA: a modelling study미국에서 남성과 성관계를 가진 남성의 HIV 발병률 및 HIV 관련 사망률에 대한 COVID-19 관련 혼란의 잠재적 영향: 모델링 연구Article Published on 2021-04-012022-09-11 Journal: The Lancet. HIV [Category] 치료제, [키워드] absence accompanied Antiretroviral therapy ART available data Baltimore calibrated Care changes changes in COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic credible interval cumulative death declined Disruption Effect HIV HIV infection HIV testing incidence increase main analysis maintain maintaining median men Mortality offset pandemic predict predicted PrEP Prophylaxis reduce reduced reduction in reductions reductions in reported Sex Support the median Transmission model USA [DOI] 10.1016/S2352-3018(21)00022-9 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Simulation-Based Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infections Associated With School Closures and Community-Based Nonpharmaceutical Interventions in Ontario, CanadaResearch Published on 2021-03-312022-10-29 Journal: JAMA Network Open [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] acquisition adverse effect analyzed applied association Canada Care change changes in Characteristics closure Community COVID-19 case COVID-19 incidence CrI Critical cumulative estimation exposure finding implementation Importance incident individual individuals Infection Intervention less mean difference measure member nonpharmaceutical intervention Nonpharmaceutical interventions objective participant Point reduce regions Relevance Result SARS-CoV-2 School setting trajectory Transmission Transmission model understanding [DOI] 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.3793 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research
Risks posed by SARS‐CoV‐2 to North American bats during winter fieldworkContributed Paper Published on 2021-03-302022-10-31 Journal: Conservation Science and Practice [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] activity aerosol transmission affected agency bat bats cause cave surveys conducted COVID‐19 COVID‐19 Efficiency Epidemiology estimate expert judgment facemask Factors filtration handling Host Human humans information inquiry Laboratory Local mammalian management North North America parameter precautions Prevalence question raising reduce Research risk risk analysis SARS‐CoV‐2 suggested syndrome Transmission Transmission model transmitted virus Volume wildlife zoonosis zoonotic zoonotic transmission [DOI] 10.1111/csp2.410 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Contributed Paper
Delays in lymphatic filariasis elimination programmes due to COVID-19, and possible mitigation strategiesInvited Paper Published on 2021-03-302022-10-29 Journal: Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medi [Category] Coronavirus, SARS, [키워드] acceleration, COVID-19 activities average coronavirus disease Coverage COVID-19 Delay Diseases Drug administration elimination, lymphatic filariasis enhanced evaluated Impact Infection Intervention Mathematical modelling Mitigation mitigation, modelling pandemic Result Transmission model Treatment tropical [DOI] 10.1093/trstmh/trab004 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Invited Paper
Effects of medical resource capacities and intensities of public mitigation measures on outcomes of COVID-19 outbreaksCOVID-19 발생 결과에 대한 의료 자원 용량 및 공공 완화 조치 강도의 영향Research Article Published on 2021-03-292022-09-10 Journal: BMC Public Health [Category] SARS, 치료기술, [키워드] Affect assist China Combination combinations complex confirmed case confirmed cases country COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic COVID-19 outbreak COVID-19 pandemic cross cumulative death detection rate drugs Effect effective Epidemic Epidemics Epidemiology equipment function health authorities Health authority hospital identify Increased induce intensity Inter-country comparisons involved key factor Logistic measure Measures medical resource Medical resources Model mortality rate Multiple outbreak outcome pandemic parameter predict prediction Prevention and control progression promote public health measures quantified reduce reduction in Reproduction number resource Result Runs on medical resources supplementary material synergistic synergistic effects the timing Transmission model [DOI] 10.1186/s12889-021-10657-4 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
What does the COVID-19 pandemic mean for the next decade of onchocerciasis control and elimination?Original Article Published on 2021-03-292022-10-29 Journal: Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medi [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] Affect affected age children coronavirus disease Coverage COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic Drug administration effective epidemiological help increase intensity investigated Ivermectin mass Mass drug administration Mathematical modelling MDA mitigate morbidity and mortality Onchocerca volvulus onchocerciasis pandemic predict Prevalence Probability profile remedial strategies Result Transmission Transmission model treatment history [DOI] 10.1093/trstmh/traa193 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Article