Use of the Hayami diffusive wave equation to model the relationship infected–recoveries–deaths of Covid-19 pandemicOriginal Paper Published on 2021-04-292022-11-01 Journal: Epidemiology and Infection [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] SIRD compartmental models Analysis application comparable compartmental model contamination rate Coronavirus COVID-19 country death diffusive wave equation Diseases distribution Epidemiology Evolution Hayami kernel function highlight hydraulic hydrology IMPROVE knowledge mathematical formulation pandemic parameter robust transfer unit hydrograph [DOI] 10.1017/S0950268821001011 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper
The first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Tuscany (Italy): A SI 2 R 2 D compartmental model with uncertainty evaluation투스카니(이탈리아)에서 SARS-CoV-2 전염병의 첫 번째 물결: 불확실성 평가가 있는 SI 2 R 2 D 구획 모델Research Article Published on 2021-04-212022-09-10 Journal: PLoS ONE [Category] MERS, SARS, 치료기술, [키워드] appear average basic reproduction number bootstrap Case fatality rate changes in compartmental model confidence interval Confidence intervals cumulative death Epidemic epidemic curve epidemic wave estimate estimates Fatality rate First wave fixed Global Sensitivity Analysis Infection information initial Italy lockdown National parameter parameters performed phenomenon Probability R 2 SARS-COV-2 infection sensitivity shape Spread the epidemic the SARS-CoV-2 Tuscany [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pone.0250029 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Dynamic prioritization of COVID-19 vaccines when social distancing is limited for essential workers403 Published on 2021-04-202022-10-29 Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] acute respiratory syndrome administration age approach Characteristics compartmental model Contact contribute coronavirus COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 vaccine Critical death deaths disease dynamic Effectiveness epidemiological essential worker Essential workers Factors group groups heterogeneity Impact infections initial Intervention magnitude Mortality nonpharmaceutical intervention Older pandemic public health reduce SARS-CoV-2 severity Significance social distancing Sociodemographic Spread susceptibility the United State Transmission Transmission dynamics vaccination Vaccine vaccine prioritization viruses [DOI] 10.1073/pnas.2025786118 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] 403
Projected COVID-19 epidemic in the United States in the context of the effectiveness of a potential vaccine and implications for social distancing and face mask useArticle Published on 2021-04-152022-10-29 Journal: Vaccine [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] affected Alter calculated candidate clinical trial compartmental model Coverage COVID-19 epidemic COVID-19 infection COVID-19 outbreak COVID-19 transmission COVID-19 vaccine cumulative Daily death death case effective Effectiveness Epidemics evaluated Face mask Face mask use implication Infection Intervention Johns Hopkins University moderate Multiple New York occur offset optimism outbreak pandemic phase predict prevented reduced required resource Result resulting social contact social distancing Social distancing measure spread of COVID-19 suppress suppressed the epidemic the United State the vaccine vaccination Vaccine vaccine coverage vaccine effectiveness was reduced widespread [DOI] 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.02.056 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
A compartmental model that predicts the effect of social distancing and vaccination on controlling COVID-19Article Published on 2021-04-142022-10-29 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] added applied assumed Belgium compartmental model COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic disease disease outbreak Germany human behavior immune include individual infected case Infectious diseases Interaction Italy Japan Mathematics and computing Nigeria predict provide recovered released social distancing susceptible the epidemic vaccination viral infection WHO [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-021-86873-0 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Modeling the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic in the Republic of Cyprus키프로스 공화국에서 발생한 Covid-19 대유행의 첫 번째 물결 모델링Article Published on 2021-04-012022-09-10 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] MERS, SARS, 진단, 치료기술, [키워드] applied change changes in collected data compartmental model coronavirus disease Coronavirus disease 2019 count Cyprus Diseases effective estimation Evolution First wave Government Intervention long term Mathematics and computing measure Medical research methodology modeling pandemic Reproduction number short term [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-021-86606-3 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Pandemic velocity: Forecasting COVID-19 in the US with a machine learning & Bayesian time series compartmental modelResearch Article Published on 2021-03-292022-10-28 Journal: PLoS Computational Biology [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] Accuracy Algorithm Alter available data Bayesian Bridging Characteristics compartmental model Course COVID-19 COVID-19 case Critical cumulative death disease distribution epidemiological estimate evaluate evaluated Forecasting geographic location growth identify individual Infection information interval log mathematical Mortality New York offer pandemic platform predict predicted prediction Predictive random response responses shifting statistical statistical model Trajectories trajectory unique Variation Virginia virus West yielding [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008837 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Identifying optimal COVID-19 testing strategies for schools and businesses: Balancing testing frequency, individual test technology, and cost학교 및 기업을 위한 최적의 COVID-19 테스트 전략 식별: 테스트 빈도, 개별 테스트 기술 및 비용 균형 조정Research Article Published on 2021-03-252022-09-12 Journal: PLoS ONE [Category] SARS, 진단, [키워드] anticipated approach balancing base Characteristics Combination Community compartmental model COVID-19 test COVID-19 testing cumulative data set Disease prevalence effective Efficiency examined False positives finding Frequency identify identifying include Increasing Infection infections moderate outcome per day pooling positive Prevalence provided reduce reduction reductions in Sample School Schools sensitivity Sensitivity and specificity Sensitivity test Surveillance susceptible Symptom the disease underlying disease variable while [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pone.0248783 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Future scenarios for the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Switzerland: an age-structured modelBrief Report Published on 2021-03-112022-10-31 Journal: F1000Research [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] age all age group applied cause children compartmental model Contact Course COVID-19 Critical Epidemic expected Future groups increased risk intensive care Intervention lifting mathematical model measure reduction reduction in resulting SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 transmission selected suppressed Switzerland the epidemic the SARS-CoV-2 [DOI] 10.12688/f1000research.24497.2 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Brief Report
A study on the effects of containment policies and vaccination on the spread of SARS-CoV-2Research Article Published on 2021-03-042022-10-28 Journal: PLoS ONE [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] Affect collected data compartmental model containment strategies Effect highlight Immunity include individuals parameter Population predict reduce SARS-CoV-2 severity shown Spread the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination Vaccine [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pone.0247439 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article