A pre-symptomatic incubation model for precision strategies of screening, quarantine, and isolation based on imported COVID-19 cases in Taiwan대만의 수입 COVID-19 사례를 기반으로 한 선별, 검역 및 격리의 정밀 전략을 위한 증상 전 인큐베이션 모델Article Published on 2022-04-112022-09-11 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] COVID19(2023년), SARS, 변종, 임상, 치료기술, [키워드] Algorithm applied Bayesian border control caused Chain Reaction Computer simulation COVID COVID-19 case COVID-19 cases credible interval declined disease Disease progression distribution Epidemic experiment facilitated Incubation period Isolation polymerase chain polymerase chain reaction pre-symptomatic Precision quarantine required risk RT-PCR stochastic process symptomatic Taiwan the median Vaccine viral variant [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-022-09863-w PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Continuous-time stochastic processes for the spread of COVID-19 disease simulated via a Monte Carlo approach and comparison with deterministic modelsArticle Published on 2021-09-142022-10-31 Journal: Journal of Mathematical Biology [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] 65C35 92D30 analyzed approach asymptomatic individual calibrated consequence COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic cross dead deterministic model disease Effect epidemic model Evolution Immunity Infection Italy Measures Monte Carlo simulation provided second wave Social distancing measure spread of COVID-19 stochastic process susceptible [DOI] 10.1007/s00285-021-01657-4 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigation완화중인 아일랜드에서 Covid-19 전염병의 역학Research Article Published on 2021-08-032022-09-10 Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases [Category] MERS, SARS, 변종, [키워드] Analysis available data Bayesian inference chain Complete confirmed case Course COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic Dynamics Effect epidemic curve epidemic waves European Evolution expected First wave greater Health healthcare hospital Hypothesis Intervention Ireland lockdown Markov Markov chain measure Measures Mitigation Monte Carlo method Mortality non-specific parameter parameters physical distancing provided Public Public health interventions reduced reduction reduction in Result saturation second wave SEIR significant effect significantly silent Spread Stochastic model stochastic process supplementary material the epidemic the SARS-CoV-2 Time varying parameters Transmission transmission rate union vaccination variant virus transmission [DOI] 10.1186/s12879-021-06433-9 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
The dynamics of entropy in the COVID-19 outbreaksOriginal Paper Published on 2020-09-092022-10-30 Journal: Nonlinear Dynamics [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] adaptive addition Applying approach averaged Bayesian Bayesian analysis COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak COVID-19 pandemic datasets distribution Epidemic Epidemics Evolution French functions instantaneous Interpretation inversion Italian Korean macroscopic Markov Mathematical modelling Metrics Modification Nonlinear Markov process outbreak Outbreaks pandemic parameter physical Probability reproductive robust significant difference South Spanish statistically stochastic process Transmission Uncertainty quantification [DOI] 10.1007/s11071-020-05871-5 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper