This paper discusses estimation of the parameters in an SIR epidemic model from the observed longitudinal new infection count data. The potential problems of the standard MLE approaches are revealed and possible remedies suggested. The analysis is based on the epidemic data from the 2009 outbreak of H1N1 influenza on the campus of Washington State University.
All Keywords
【저자키워드】 H1N1 influenza, Parameter estimation, Monte Carlo approximation, Stochastic SIR model.,
【저자키워드】 H1N1 influenza, Parameter estimation, Monte Carlo approximation, Stochastic SIR model.,