Background Reverse Transcription-Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) diagnosis currently requires quite a long time span. A quicker and more efficient diagnostic tool in emergency departments could improve management during this global crisis. Our main goal was assessing the accuracy of artificial intelligence in predicting the results of RT-PCR for SARS-COV-2, using basic information at hand in all emergency departments. Methods This is a retrospective study carried out between February 22, 2020 and March 16, 2020 in one of the main hospitals in Milan, Italy. We screened for eligibility all patients admitted with influenza-like symptoms tested for SARS-COV-2. Patients under 12 years old and patients in whom the leukocyte formula was not performed in the ED were excluded. Input data through artificial intelligence were made up of a combination of clinical, radiological and routine laboratory data upon hospital admission. Different Machine Learning algorithms available on WEKA data mining software and on Semeion Research Centre depository were trained using both the Training and Testing and the K-fold cross-validation protocol. Results Among 199 patients subject to study (median [interquartile range] age 65 [46–78] years; 127 [63.8%] men), 124 [62.3%] resulted positive to SARS-COV-2. The best Machine Learning System reached an accuracy of 91.4% with 94.1% sensitivity and 88.7% specificity. Conclusion Our study suggests that properly trained artificial intelligence algorithms may be able to predict correct results in RT-PCR for SARS-COV-2, using basic clinical data. If confirmed, on a larger-scale study, this approach could have important clinical and organizational implications. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13049-020-00808-8.
【저자키워드】 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, Critical care, artificial intelligence, Pandemics, Emergency service, hospital, Supervised machine learning, 【초록키워드】 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, coronavirus, protocol, Influenza, artificial intelligence, machine learning, hospital, diagnostic, Diagnosis, Italy, RT-PCR, coronavirus 2, Severe acute respiratory syndrome, Retrospective study, sensitivity, specificity, Testing, Accuracy, management, Algorithm, Patient, age, Hospital admission, respiratory, information, predict, Combination, Emergency Departments, best, Chain Reaction, leukocyte, not performed, training, acute respiratory syndrome, Implications, supplementary material, reaction, Clinical data, subject, chain, laboratory data, eligibility, hand, Influenza-like symptoms, input, positive, men, System, approach, radiological, IMPROVE, Result, tested, performed, carried, screened, median, reached, influenza-like symptom, were excluded, 【제목키워드】 SARS-CoV-2, Patient, development, predict, Clinical data, influenza-like symptom, machine learning model,