Starting February 2020, COVID-19 was confirmed in 11,946 people worldwide, with a mortality rate of almost 2%. A significant number of epidemic diseases consisting of human Coronavirus display patterns. In this study, with the benefit of data analytic, we develop regression models and a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the contagion to compare the performance of models to predict the number of cases. First, we implement a good understanding of data and perform Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA). Then, we derive parameters of the model from the available data corresponding to the top 4 regions based on the history of infections and the most infected people as of the end of August 2020. Then models are compared, and we recommend further research.
【저자키워드】 COVID-19, Epidemiology, Linear regression, SIR, ARIMA, logistic function, 【초록키워드】 Infection, Region, Regression model, Research, mortality rate, predict, Contagion, epidemic disease, available data, parameter, starting, benefit, develop, EDA, 【제목키워드】 Model, function, Regression, COVID-19 case,