Key Points Question What are the characteristics of intensive care unit admissions identified by 2 proposed pandemic ventilator allocation triage guidelines using Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores when applied retrospectively to critically ill US patients who received mechanical ventilation? Findings In this cohort study of 40 439 admissions to intensive care units that received mechanical ventilation, the New York State guideline identified 9% who would likely meet criteria for the lowest priority for ventilator allocation compared with 4% from the original White and Lo guideline. Only 655 admissions (1.6%) were in the lowest priority category for both guidelines, with 39% survival to hospital discharge for admissions identified as lowest priority using the New York State guideline compared with 56% for admissions identified using White and Lo. Meaning Two distinct approaches to triage for mechanical ventilation showed little agreement, suggesting that further clinical assessment of different potential criteria for triage decisions is important to ensure equitable allocation of resources. Importance In the current setting of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, there is concern for the possible need for triage criteria for ventilator allocation; to our knowledge, the implications of using specific criteria have never been assessed. Objective To determine which and how many admissions to intensive care units are identified as having the lowest priority for ventilator allocation using 2 distinct sets of proposed triage criteria. Design, Setting, and Participants This retrospective cohort study conducted in spring 2020 used data collected from US hospitals and reported in the Philips eICU Collaborative Research Database. Adult admissions (N = 40 439) to 291 intensive care units from 2014 to 2015 who received mechanical ventilation and were not elective surgery patients were included. Exposures New York State triage criteria and original triage criteria proposed by White and Lo. Main Outcomes and Measures Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores were calculated for admissions. The proportion of patients who met initial criteria for the lowest level of priority for mechanical ventilation using each set of criteria and their characteristics and outcomes were assessed. Agreement was compared between the 2 sets of triage criteria, recognizing differences in stated criteria aims. Results Among 40 439 intensive care unit admissions of patients who received mechanical ventilation, the mean (SD) age was 62.6 (16.6) years, 54.9% were male, and the mean (SD) SOFA score was 4.5 (3.7). Using the New York State triage criteria, 8.9% (95% CI, 8.7%-9.2%) were in the lowest priority category; these lowest priority admissions had a mean (SD) age of 62.9 (16.6) years, used a median (interquartile range) of 57.3 (20.1-133.5) ventilator hours each, and had a hospital survival rate of 38.6% (95% CI, 37.0%-40.2%). Using the White and Lo triage criteria, 4.3% (95% CI, 4.1%-4.5%) were in the lowest priority category; these admissions had a mean (SD) age of 68.6 (13.2) years, used a median (interquartile range) of 61.7 (24.3-142.8) ventilator hours each, and had a hospital survival rate of 56.2% (95% CI, 53.8%-58.7%). Only 655 admissions (1.6%) were in the lowest priority category for both guidelines, with the κ statistic for agreement equal to 0.20 (95% CI, 0.18-0.21). Conclusions and Relevance Use of 2 initially proposed ventilator triage guidelines identified approximately 1 in every 10 to 25 admissions as having the lowest priority for ventilator allocation, with little agreement. Clinical assessment of different potential criteria for triage decisions in critically ill populations is important to ensure valid and equitable allocation of resources. This cohort study compares the New York State Ventilator Allocation Guideline with the original triage criteria proposed by White and Lo to determine which and how many admissions to US intensive care units are identified as having the lowest priority for ventilator allocation.
【초록키워드】 coronavirus disease, pandemic, intensive care, mechanical ventilation, knowledge, hospital, intensive care unit, outcome, guideline, Population, cohort study, survival, Critically ill, Characteristics, male, Patient, age, SOFA, survival rate, agreement, assessment, allocation, New York, Admission, exposure, Elective surgery, criteria, SOFA score, clinical assessment, retrospective cohort study, Admissions, interquartile range, ventilator, 95% CI, failure, hospital discharge, measure, white, participant, finding, resources, implication, approach, state, objective, setting, initial, lowest, Result, collected, proportion, reported, conducted, applied, median, calculated, determine, recognizing, Importance, the mean, Philip, Point, Relevance, used data, were assessed, 【제목키워드】 Triage, guideline, allocation, Scoring, Mechanical,