Determination of the risk–benefit ratio associated with the use of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) repurposed drugs in older adults with polypharmacy is mandatory. Our objective was to develop and validate a strategy to assess risk for adverse drug events (ADE) associated with COVID-19 repurposed drugs using hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) and chloroquine (CQ), alone or in combination with azithromycin (AZ), and the combination lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r). These medications were virtually added, one at a time, to drug regimens of 12,383 participants of the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly. The MedWise Risk Score (MRS TM ) was determined from 198,323 drug claims. Results demonstrated that the addition of each repurposed drug caused a rightward shift in the frequency distribution of MRS TM values ( p < 0.05); the increase was due to an increase in the drug-induced Long QT Syndrome (LQTS) or CYP450 drug interaction burden risk scores. Increases in LQTS risk observed with HCQ + AZ and CQ + AZ were of the same magnitude as those estimated when terfenadine or terfenadine + AZ, used as positive controls for drug-induced LQTS, were added to drug regimens. The simulation-based strategy performed offers a way to assess risk of ADE for drugs to be used in people with underlying medical comorbidities and polypharmacy at risk of COVID-19 infection without exposing them to these drugs.
【저자키워드】 COVID-19, Older adults, adverse drug events, Simulation, polypharmacy, 【초록키워드】 Chloroquine, Hydroxychloroquine, elderly, Infection, drugs, Comorbidity, risk, drug, novel coronavirus disease, Repurposed drug, Program, HCQ, medication, distribution, ADE, score, Combination, Frequency, drug interaction, Risk scores, Older, participant, positive control, offer, drug regimens, risk of COVID-19, event, Long, Result, performed, develop, caused, addition, was determined, increase, added, demonstrated, magnitude, increase in, Determination, drug regimen, mandatory, with COVID-19, 【제목키워드】 drug, Adverse,