We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.
All Keywords
【저자키워드】 COVID-19, 2019 novel coronavirus disease, coronavirus disease, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, viruses, respiratory infections, zoonoses, SARS-CoV-2, coronavirus, SARS, 【초록키워드】 risk, trajectory, early stage, Previous studies, parameter, the epidemic, described, calculated, calculate, 【제목키워드】 estimation, time,
【저자키워드】 COVID-19, 2019 novel coronavirus disease, coronavirus disease, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, viruses, respiratory infections, zoonoses, SARS-CoV-2, coronavirus, SARS, 【초록키워드】 risk, trajectory, early stage, Previous studies, parameter, the epidemic, described, calculated, calculate, 【제목키워드】 estimation, time,