Background We aimed to prospectively assess the lung fibrotic-like changes, as well as to explore their predictive factors, in the patients who survived Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection. In this prospective cross-sectional study, we recruited patients who had been treated for moderate or severe COVID-19 pneumonia as inpatients and discharged from Rohani hospital in Babol, northern Iran, during March 2020. The clinical severity of COVID-19 pneumonia was classified as per the definition by World Health Organization. We also calculated the CT severity score (CSS) for all patients at admission. Within the 3 months of follow-up, the next chest CT scan was performed. As the secondary outcome, the patients with fibrotic abnormalities in their second CT scan were followed up in the next 3 months. Results Totally, 173 COVID-19 patients were finally included in the study, of whom 57 (32.9%) were male and others were female. The mean age was 53.62 ± 13.67 years old. At 3-month CT follow-up, evidence of pulmonary fibrosis was observed in 90 patients (52.0%). Consolidation (odds ratio [OR] = 2.84), severe disease (OR 2.40), and a higher CSS (OR 1.10) at admission were associated with increased risk of fibrotic abnormalities found at 3-month CT follow-up. Of 62 patients who underwent chest CT scan again at 6 months of follow-up, 41 patients (66.1%) showed no considerable changes in the fibrotic findings, while the rest of 21 patients (33.9%) showed relatively diminished lung fibrosis. Conclusion Post-COVID-19 lung fibrosis was observed in about half of the survivors. Also, patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia were at a higher risk of pulmonary fibrosis. Moreover, consolidation, as well as a higher CSS, in the initial chest CT scan, was associated with increased risk of post-COVID-19 lung fibrosis. In addition, some patients experienced diminished fibrotic abnormalities in their chest CT on 6-month follow-up, while some others did not.
【저자키워드】 SARS-CoV-2, Coronavirus disease 2019, pulmonary fibrosis, Computed tomography, 【초록키워드】 COVID-19, Severe COVID-19 pneumonia, Pneumonia, cross-sectional, severity, hospital, Infection, lung, Iran, Survivors, Chest CT, CT scan, male, female, Patient, Factors, age, Lung fibrosis, Follow-up, Admission, moderate, consolidation, Clinical severity, Evidence, Odds ratio, severe disease, chest CT scan, COVID-19 patient, Predictive, World Health Organization, changes, Inpatient, higher risk, increased risk, secondary outcome, abnormality, initial, Result, recruited, the patient, addition, was performed, treated, calculated, changes in, discharged, survived, CSS, 【제목키워드】 Prospective Study, Predictive,