A five-compartment model of age-specific transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2Research Article Published on 2020-08-262022-10-29 Journal: Infectious Diseases of Poverty [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] 2019-nCoV acute respiratory syndrome age Age-specific dynamics cause collected compartmental model coronavirus Coronavirus disease 2019 COVID-19 dataset epidemiological exhibit Features FIVE group groups highest transmissibility IMPROVE individual lowest mathematical measure morbidity Novel coronavirus occurred Result risk SAR SARS-CoV-2 secondary cases susceptibility Transmissibility transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 Transmission was used [DOI] 10.1186/s40249-020-00735-x PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Real-Time Digital Contact Tracing: Development of a System to Control COVID-19 Outbreaks in Nursing Homes and Long-Term Care FacilitiesOriginal Paper Published on 2020-08-252022-10-31 Journal: JMIR Public Health and Surveillance [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] acute respiratory syndrome Asymptomatic Care care homes compartmental model Contact tracing contributed Control coronavirus coronavirus disease COVID-19 COVID-19 outbreak development Digital digital contact tracing disease transmission effective Efficiency facility home identify Infection Intervention intervention group limitation long term care LTC Nursing nursing homes objective outbreak pandemic polymerase chain respiratory line Result SARS-CoV-2 Spread surgical Symptom symptomatic System Transmission viral spread was used yielding [DOI] 10.2196/20828 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper
Dynamics and Development of the COVID-19 Epidemic in the United States: A Compartmental Model Enhanced With Deep Learning TechniquesOriginal Paper Published on 2020-08-212022-10-30 Journal: Journal of Medical Internet Research [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] basic reproduction number Characteristics compartmental model Compartmental models confirmed case coronavirus disease COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic cross current deep deep learning development Dynamics effective Effectiveness enhanced Epidemic Epidemiology estimation learning less methodology Model modeling objective parameter predict predicted reduced Result simulate suppressed technique the epidemic Transmission transmission parameter transmission parameters virus [DOI] 10.2196/21173 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper
Time, space and social interactions: exit mechanisms for the Covid-19 epidemicsArticle Published on 2020-08-132022-10-04 Journal: Scientific Reports [Category] MERS, 변종, [키워드] age Cluster compartmental model Contagion Critical develop Epidemics heterogeneity highlight Information theory and computation Intervention Italian Italy Local lockdown mechanism mitigate Nonlinear phenomena occur outbreak parameter Region second social contact social interaction the epidemic time [DOI] 10.1038/s41598-020-70631-9 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Is Nigeria really on top of COVID-19? Message from effective reproduction numberOriginal Paper Published on 2020-08-052022-11-01 Journal: Epidemiology and Infection [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] Analysis applied basic reproduction number Bayesian framework compartmental model coronavirus disease COVID-19 death case defined effective effective reproductive number Epidemic epidemiological estimate Evidence fraction greater imported cases initial Intervention measure message MOST Nigeria outbreak parameter progression Public health response question reported Reproduction number shown symptomatic symptomatic case symptomatic cases the epidemic transmission rate virus [DOI] 10.1017/S0950268820001740 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper
Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 mortality during the early stages of an epidemic: A modeling study in Hubei, China, and six regions in Europe전염병 초기 SARS-CoV-2 사망률 추정: 중국 후베이 및 유럽 6개 지역의 모델링 연구Research Article Published on 2020-07-282022-08-13 Journal: PLoS Medicine [Category] Biology and Life Sciences, COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] acute respiratory syndrome acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 adjusted Affect affected age applied baseline biases calculated can be used Case–fatality ratio cause caused causes CFR changed China Clinical prognosis comparison Comparisons compartmental model coronavirus credible interval CrI date of onset death deaths disease early stage Epidemic estimate Estimated estimation Europe Factor Geographic difference Geographic differences geographic locations Germany Health Service healthcare heterogeneity highest IFR IMPROVE individual infected with SARS-CoV-2 Infection Infection transmission infection–fatality ratio investigated Italy less limitation lombardy lowest mathematical mathematical model measure MONITOR Mortality Older Outbreaks overall mortality Policy predict preferential ascertainment proportion public health ranged reduce Region reported required researcher respiratory right-censoring SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic SARS-COV-2 infection sCFR SEIR severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus Severe case severe cases severe symptoms Spain surveillance data susceptible-exposed-infected-removed Switzerland symptomatic case symptomatic case–fatality ratio the SARS-CoV-2 total size Transmission Transmission dynamics Transmission model [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003189 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Forecasting the daily and cumulative number of cases for the COVID-19 pandemic in IndiaFast Track Published on 2020-07-082022-10-31 Journal: Chaos [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] absence Antiviral basic reproduction number calibrated community transmission compartmental model Coronavirus Disease (COVID)-19 COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic cumulative Endemic Epidemic explain feasible Forecasting Government of India Gujarat Increases India infected individual Infectious disease lockdown mathematical Novel coronavirus outbreak pandemic parameters Prevent stability the disease Transmission dynamics transmission rate Vaccine World Health Organization [DOI] 10.1063/5.0016240 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Fast Track
Transmission patterns of COVID-19 in the mainland of China and the efficacy of different control strategies: a data- and model-driven studyResearch Article Published on 2020-07-062022-10-29 Journal: Infectious Diseases of Poverty [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] adopted China Chinese close contact compartmental model confirmed case coronavirus disease Coverage COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic cumulative death deaths Diagnosis dropped early diagnosis effective effective reproduction number Efficacy Fatality rate Government Health infected patients Infection Intervention Intervention strategy Isolation measure National Health Commission outbreak parameters Patient predicted Prevalence quarantine reached reduced reported Reproduction number Result risk of COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 sensitivity analysis the epidemic Transmission Transmission dynamics was increased was reduced would increase Wuhan [DOI] 10.1186/s40249-020-00709-z PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Early Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Hungary and Post-Lockdown ScenariosArticle Published on 2020-06-302022-10-28 Journal: Viruses [Category] COVID-19, SARS, [키워드] Case fatality rate compartmental model Contact COVID-19 COVID-19 epidemic COVID-19 outbreak disease early phase effective Effects Epidemic epidemiological Factors growth heterogeneity Hungary incidence of COVID-19 Intervention measure Measures phase reducing reduction in Reproduction number SARS-CoV-2 scenario statistical analysis suppressed Transmission under-ascertainment virus [DOI] 10.3390/v12070708 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Estimation of the Excess COVID-19 Cases in Seoul, South Korea by the Students Arriving from ChinaArticle Published on 2020-04-292022-10-29 Journal: International Journal of Environmental Research an [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] China compartmental model Compliance coronavirus country COVID-19 Efficacy effort Epidemic Epidemics estimation excess IMPROVE indicated individual individuals infected individual Infection International Korea Korean less mitigate number of infected occur performed quarantine Result risk risk of COVID-19 Simulation South Korea student virus [DOI] 10.3390/ijerph17093113 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article