Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study영국의 비약물적 개입, 백신 접종, SARS-CoV-2 델타 변종: 수학적 모델링 연구Articles Published on 2021-11-132022-09-10 Journal: Lancet (London, England) [Category] MERS, SARS, 변종, [키워드] Alpha B.1.617.2 Bayesian calibrated the model capture Commonwealth condition country Coverage COVID-19 credible interval CrI cross-protection cumulative deaths delta variant described development Effectiveness England English Epidemic estimate Evidence finding Foreign funding hospital Hospital admission Hospital admissions Infection Intervention investigated lifting lockdown lockdown restriction lockdown restrictions Mathematical modelling Measures Medical Research Council mixing natural immunity NPI NPIs office pandemic parameter PCR testing per day population immunity reduced resulting risk SARS-CoV-2 transmission sensitivity step surveillance data the epidemic the SARS-CoV-2 the timing timeline Trajectories trajectory Transmissibility Transmission vaccination Vaccine variant variant of SARS-CoV-2 variants was done Wellcome Trust [DOI] 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02276-5 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Articles
Screening of COVID-19 cases through a Bayesian network symptoms model and psychophysical olfactory testResearch article Published on 2021-11-112022-10-05 Journal: iScience [Category] 진단, [키워드] Accuracy AUC Bayesian COVID-19 COVID-19 case COVID-19 testing Diagnostic technique in health technology diagnostics FIVE Health technology healthcare healthy highlight Infection Loss of Smell Mathematical biosciences network olfactory dysfunction olfactory test predicted Prevalence prevalent Probability RT-PCR Screening shown Support Symptom symptoms of COVID-19 threshold [DOI] 10.1016/j.isci.2021.103419 [Article Type] Research article
Inferring the COVID-19 infection fatality rate in the community-dwelling population: a simple Bayesian evidence synthesis of seroprevalence study data and imprecise mortality dataOriginal Paper Published on 2021-11-082022-11-01 Journal: Epidemiology and Infection [Category] COVID-19, [키워드] age Analysis approach average Bayesian Bayesian inference coronavirus COVID-19 COVID-19 infection CrI death driven by eligible estimate European Evidence Evidence synthesis excluded Fatality rate GDP IFR individual Infection Infection fatality rate inherent mortality data Population populations Research researcher subject the United State union [DOI] 10.1017/S0950268821002405 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Original Paper
A method to estimate probability of disease and vaccine efficacy from clinical trial immunogenicity dataArticle Published on 2021-11-042022-10-04 Journal: NPJ Vaccines [Category] 바이오마커, 임상, [키워드] accelerate assessment association Bayesian Biomarker candidate clinical trial Clinical trial design collected confidence interval contributing to COVID-19 pandemic dengue virus disease Drug development Efficacy effort estimate example help immune response immunogenicity data immunological indicate Influenza information Predictive Predictive markers Probability quantitative framework Trial vaccination Vaccine Vaccine development vaccine efficacy Vaccines [DOI] 10.1038/s41541-021-00377-6 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Early detection of change patterns in COVID-19 incidence and the implementation of public health policies: A multi-national studyResearch article Published on 2021-11-012022-10-05 Journal: Public Health in Practice [Category] 치료기술, [키워드] Algorithm Americas appear approach B-spline B-spline trend fitting and prediction Bayesian caused Change point models changes in Confidence intervals correlated country COVID-19 COVID-19 case COVID-19 disease COVID-19 incidence COVID-19 pandemic disease Early detection effective effort Europe European Evidence examined Express extension genomic data global pandemic Health policy heterogeneous identify implementation incidence Incidences indicated management National objective observational study P-value pandemic posterior probability predicted Prevalence Prevent public health regions Regression model Research response Result SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus Social distancing measure spread of COVID-19 statistical statistically structures the mean translated union West WHO widespread World Health Organization [DOI] 10.1016/j.puhip.2020.100064 [Article Type] Research article
Creating symptom-based criteria for diagnostic testing: a case study based on a multivariate analysis of data collected during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in New ZealandResearch Published on 2021-10-302022-10-28 Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] age Ageusia Algorithm Algorithms analysed Analysis Anosmia approach automated Bayesian class clinical collected conditions correspondence COVID-19 COVID-19 pandemic criteria decision demographic data Demographic variables determine diagnostic diagnostic testing Epidemiology explained Fever First wave forest headache Health services individual individuals Infection joint Latent machine learning Machine learning algorithms Multiple New outcomes Pain PCR PCR-confirmed presenting proportion provided public health reduced resource respiratory symptom Result sensitivity Sensitivity and specificity Sex Shortness of breath sore throat specificity supplementary material Symptom symptomatic Symptoms tested Travel tree Triaging weakness worsening cough [DOI] 10.1186/s12879-021-06810-4 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research
Anti-spike antibody response to natural SARS-CoV-2 infection in the general population일반 인구에서 자연적인 SARS-CoV-2 감염에 대한 항스파이크 항체 반응Article Published on 2021-10-292022-09-12 Journal: Nature Communications [Category] MERS, SARS, 진단, [키워드] anti-spike antibodies anti-Spike IgG antibody antibody levels Antibody Response Antibody responses average Bayesian booster Community COVID-19 infection Cycle threshold value determinant determinants Epidemiology estimate feature female General population immune response infected with SARS-CoV-2 Infection latent class less linear MOST Older participant PCR tests peak level Planning positive swab Reinfection reported responders risk SARS-CoV-2 SARS-COV-2 infection SARS-CoV-2 PCR test seroconvert seroconverted Severe infection subsequent Symptoms the antibody response trajectory understanding United Kingdom vaccination viral burden viral infection [DOI] 10.1038/s41467-021-26479-2 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
OutbreakFlow: Model-based Bayesian inference of disease outbreak dynamics with invertible neural networks and its application to the COVID-19 pandemics in GermanyResearch Article Published on 2021-10-252022-10-28 Journal: PLoS Computational Biology [Category] COVID-19, MERS, [키워드] application Applying approach Bayesian Bayesian inference Characteristics circumvent Combination Complete complex concerning COVID-19 data integrity determine disease Diseases distribution Epidemic epidemiological Epidemiology estimate expressive flexible fraction Generation time Germany infected individual Infection infections initial joint knowledge likelihood mathematical mathematical model measure moderate observation outbreak Pandemics parameter parameters predict progression proportion Public health interventions quantification repeated subsequent symptom onset the epidemic Transmission variety [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009472 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article
Genomic characterization and Epidemiology of an emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant in Delhi, India인도 델리에서 신흥 SARS-COV-2 변형의 게놈 특성 및 역학Article Published on 2021-10-222022-09-10 Journal: Science (New York, N.y.) [Category] Fulltext, MERS, 변종, 유전자 메커니즘, [키워드] (Alpha) antibody B.1.1.7 Bayesian city Cohort Combination Concentration contributed COVID-19 case COVID-19 cases Delta delta variant explain growth advantage immune response immune responses Immunity India median National outbreak reached reduced reduction replaced SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 variant sensitivity Seropositivity Transmissibility variant variant B.1.617.2 [DOI] 10.1126/science.abj9932 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article
Understanding an evolving pandemic: An analysis of the clinical time delay distributions of COVID-19 in the United KingdomResearch Article Published on 2021-10-202022-10-28 Journal: PLoS ONE [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS, [키워드] age analysed Analysis approach Bayesian change changes in Clinical data Clinical outcome clinical outcomes Complete COVID-19 death decrease defined demographics distribution Efficacy epidemiological epidemiologically First wave Gender group Health Service healthcare hospital hospitalisation ICU impacted incidence individual Infection Intervention pandemic patients phenotype provide SARS-COV-2 infection seeking statistically significant difference Treatment understanding United Kingdom virus Volume [DOI] 10.1371/journal.pone.0257978 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research Article