mathematical model – Page 9 – Communicable Diseases Research

Epidemiological Characteristics and Transmissibility for SARS-CoV-2 of Population Level and Cluster Level in a Chinese City

중국 도시의 인구 수준 및 클러스터 수준의 SARS-CoV-2에 대한 역학 특성 및 전염성

Public Health

Published on 2022-01-182022-09-12
Journal: Frontiers in Public Health [Category] MERS, SARS, 진단,

Modeling the Transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant in a Partially Vaccinated Population

부분적으로 예방 접종을받은 모집단에서 SARS-COV-2 델타 변형의 전염 모델링

Article

Published on 2022-01-162022-09-10
Journal: Viruses [Category] SARS, 변종,

[키워드] Affect breakthrough cases Combination conducted Contact tracing Delta determine determined by Effectiveness Face mask greater Immunity individual infected individuals magnitude mathematical mathematical model measure modeling number of infected pandemic parameter parameters Population Reproduction number required SARS-CoV-2 variants Sensitivity analyses sensitivity analysis sensitivity analysis: control reproduction number several limitations shown Spread subpopulation the SARS-CoV-2 trajectory Transmission Transmission dynamics vaccinated individual vaccination vaccination rates Vaccine Vaccine-induced immunity vaccines dynamics variant virus spread virus transmission
[DOI] 10.3390/v14010158 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article

Bayesian Inference of State-Level COVID-19 Basic Reproduction Numbers across the United States

미국 전역의 국가 차원의 COVID-19 기본 재생산 수의 베이지안 추론

Article

Published on 2022-01-152022-09-10
Journal: Viruses [Category] 변종,

[키워드] absence acquired immunity approach B.1.617.2 basic basic reproduction number Bayesian Bayesian inference can be used Case report circulating compartmental model Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) COVID-19 Delta determine disease transmission dominant estimate expected fraction herd immunity Herd immunity threshold immune Immunity in some infection with SARS-CoV-2 infectiousness Inference Lineage mathematical model maximum more difficult Mutation New non-immune number reproduction SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 variant secondary case secondary cases seroprevalence survey strain Strains sustained the United State threshold United States unlikely vaccination
[DOI] 10.3390/v14010157 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Article

Quantitative comparison of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid amplification test and antigen testing algorithms: a decision analysis simulation model

SARS-COV-2 핵산 증폭 시험 및 항원 시험 알고리즘의 정량적 비교 : 의사 결정 분석 시뮬레이션 모델

Research

Published on 2022-01-132022-09-10
Journal: BMC Public Health [Category] SARS, 치료기술,

[키워드] addition Algorithm Algorithms amplification Analysis Antigen antigen test antigen tests approach balances COVID-19 Decision analysis detect diagnoses expected False-positive framework Health Organization Health Organizations mathematical model median NAAT nucleic acid nucleic acid amplification nucleic acid amplification tests offer organizations outcome Prevalence Primary outcomes provide Public public health Quantitative reduced reported required resource Result RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid SARS-CoV-2 testing seeking sensitivity supplementary material symptom status symptomatic trade-off trade-offs
[DOI] 10.1186/s12889-021-12489-8 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Research

Vaccination Schedule under Conditions of Limited Vaccine Production Rate

Article

Published on 2022-01-132022-10-28
Journal: Vaccines [Category] COVID-19,

Heterologous vaccination interventions to reduce pandemic morbidity and mortality: Modeling the US winter 2020 COVID-19 wave

전염병 이환율 및 사망률을 줄이기 위한 이종 백신 개입: 2020년 미국 겨울 COVID-19 물결 모델링

422

Published on 2022-01-112022-09-10
Journal: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of [Category] 변종,

[키워드] age Bacillus BCG benefit Cohort Control country COVID-19 COVID-19 cases COVID-19 disease COVID-19 pandemic cross-protective dependent on determine Drug administration Effect effective Effectiveness Effects Evidence example growth Guidance Health help Heterologous heterologous vaccine Hospitalization immune immunization immunological implementation inactivated incidence Infection infections infectious disease modeling Influenza influenza vaccine Intervention malaria mathematical mathematical model modeling modulate morbidity morbidity and mortality Mortality nonpharmaceutical intervention Nonpharmaceutical interventions nonspecific pandemic Pandemics parameter Pathogens polio Polio vaccine Population reduce reduced reduction in Reproduction number Resilience SARS-COV-2 infection shown Significance stimulate the United State The United States trained immunity transmissible variant transmissible variants United States vaccinated individuals vaccination Vaccine Vaccines variants Viral
[DOI] 10.1073/pnas.2025448119 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] 422

COVID-19 transmission dynamics underlying epidemic waves in Kenya

케냐의 전염병 파도의 기본 전염성 역학

Article

Published on 2022-01-072022-09-10
Journal: Science (New York, N.y.) [Category] Fulltext, MERS, 변종,

Feasibility of SARS-CoV-2 Surveillance Testing Among Children and Childcare Workers at German Day Care Centers A Nonrandomized Controlled Trial

독일 데이케어 센터의 아동 및 보육 종사자를 대상으로 한 SARS-CoV-2 감시 테스트의 타당성 비무작위 통제 시험

Controlled Clinical Trial

Published on 2022-01-042022-09-10
Journal: JAMA Network Open [Category] 임상, 진단, 치료기술,

[키워드] 95% CI acceptance Administered age All participant All participants assigned Asymptomatic Care center Chain Reaction children children’s health clinical closure conducted continuous surveillance Controlled Controlled trial COVID-19 pandemic Day day care Day Care Centers dropout Effect Efficacy eligible feasibility Feasibility study feasible female finding Germany highest identify Importance individual Infection involved limit maintain mathematical mathematical model measure median module nasal swab nonrandomized objective on children oropharyngeal swabs pandemic parents participant participated Perception Point polymerase chain polymerase chain reaction Prevent Primary outcome Primary outcomes protocol Questionnaires Registration registry Relevance Result Saliva SARS-CoV-2 SARS-CoV-2 antibody SARS-CoV-2 surveillance SARS-CoV-2 testing Secondary infection secondary infections setting setup Spread Surveillance surveillance testing swabbing Testing twice weekly Viral viral spread was used worker
[DOI] 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.42057 PMC 바로가기 [Article Type] Controlled Clinical Trial

Estimating the Effects of Public Health Measures by SEIR(MH) Model of COVID-19 Epidemic in Local Geographic Areas

Public Health

Published on 2022-01-042022-10-31
Journal: Frontiers in Public Health [Category] COVID-19, MERS, SARS,

Dynamical analysis of coronavirus disease with crowding effect, and vaccination: a study of third strain

Original Paper

Published on 2022-01-042022-10-30
Journal: Nonlinear Dynamics [Category] COVID-19,